1 post tagged “delegates”

With the large margin of victory in North Carolina (14 points) and the narrow margin of loss in Indiana (1.8 points or 23,000 votes) means that the delegates gained in each contest wipes away the ones Hillary earned in Pennsylvania.  The Clinton camp canceled the morning television visits, there's only one fund raising event scheduled for the late afternoon.  I think this will give them the time to think about whether to continue with the campaign.  I'm sure they'll keep going all the way until Denver, if they do, then there are a couple contests that Clinton "could" win, all to help her bow out on the high note. 

I think she's come to terms and recognized that this very well could be the end.  Both parties talked about party unity, so I think that the speech in Indiana was more of her concession.  She's still needed to collect the debt her campaign owes her since she had loaned 5 million in order to keep it floating.  I don't think that she'd be able to get the large percentage of Superdelegates (over 70% or 200 count) needed in order for her to secure the nomination for the Democratic party before Denver.  Now her campaign will have to enter into negotiations to try and get both Florida and Michigan seated and the delegates awarded (and votes counted), even if that were the case, she'd still be down to Obama. (100 delegate lead in favor of Obama and 170K votes still in his favor)

With Obama's path looking even more clear, it's time that his campaign starts to focus on McCain.  Also, Clinton's supporters really should start licking their wounds and stick with the party to help Senator Obama this November.

Contest results

From NBC's Domenico Montanaro
NBC News has allocated some of the pledged delegates from Indiana and Pennsylvania.

INDIANA: Clinton 35-31 (6 remain to be allocated)
NORTH CAROLINA: Obama 49-42 (24 remain to be allocated)

The Delegate Counts:
PLEDGED: Obama 1,572-1,415
SUPERDELEGATES: Clinton 272.5-256
OVERALL: 1,828-1.687.5

This would put Obama within 197 of the 2,025. (This, of course, does not include Florida and Michigan.)   

MAY 2008
6 Indiana and North Carolina primaries
13 West Virginia Democratic primary
 West Virginia GOP primary (1/3 selected)
20 Kentucky and Oregon primaries
27 Idaho Republican primary

JUNE 2008
1 Puerto Rico Democratic primary
3 Montana Democratic primary
 New Mexico Republican primary
 South Dakota primary

AUGUST 2008
25-28 Democratic National Convention in Denver

SEPTEMBER 2008
1-4 Republican National Convention in Minneapolis-St. Paul
26 Presidential debate in Oxford, Miss.

OCTOBER 2008
2 Vice Presidential debate in St. Louis, Mo.
7 Presidential debate in Nashville, Tenn.
15 Presidential debate in Hempstead, N.Y.

NOVEMBER 2008
4 Election Day